Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for Birmingham City Under-23s had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Birmingham City Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s would win this match.