Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.