Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.45%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.