Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.