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EFL Cup
Bournemouth logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Stoke logo

Bournemouth
2 - 0
Stoke

Solanke (51'), Rothwell (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pearson (67'), Wilmot (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Bournemouth and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Brighton 3-1 Bournemouth
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League

Stoke City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Stoke 1-3 Hull City
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Bournemouth 3-0 Stoke City

 With injuries piling up and other players unable to take the field on Wednesday for administrative reasons, this third-round tie has all the makings of a miserable evening for the Potters. An injection of confidence would do Bournemouth the world of good right now, and we expect the Cherries to get it during a resounding success on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 53.36%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 23.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 2-1 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawStoke City
23.77% (-0.926 -0.93) 22.87% (-0.153 -0.15) 53.36% (1.073 1.07)
Both teams to score 57.39% (-0.559 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.28% (-0.251 -0.25)42.72% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.88% (-0.249 -0.25)65.12% (0.244 0.24)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32% (-0.90300000000001 -0.9)31.68% (0.898 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (-1.051 -1.05)68.1% (1.046 1.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84% (0.283 0.28)16% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.68% (0.522 0.52)45.32% (-0.526 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 23.77%
    Stoke City 53.36%
    Draw 22.87%
BournemouthDrawStoke City
2-1 @ 6.14% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-0 @ 5.83% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.35% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.28% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 23.77%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 9.78% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.191 0.19)
0-2 @ 8.51% (0.256 0.26)
1-3 @ 5.98% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-3 @ 5.2% (0.205 0.21)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.74% (0.069 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.38% (0.117 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.36%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Stoke

Bournemouth
77.6%
Draw
16.3%
Stoke City
6.1%
49
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Bournemouth
2-1
Stoke
Solanke (83'), Lowe (89')
Mepham (40'), Lowe (43'), Cook (72'), Kelly (82')
Smith (20')
Smith (25'), Brown (39'), Thompson (57')
Fox (32')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
0-1
Bournemouth
Solanke (51')
Kilkenny (3'), Zemura (59')
> Preview
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Bournemouth
0-2
Stoke

Cook (6'), Billing (61')
Forrester (36'), Smith (52')
Batth (47')
> Match Report
Jan 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Stoke
0-1
Bournemouth

Thompson (57'), Chester (58'), McClean (73'), Souttar (90+4')
Stanislas (79')
Lerma (90+2')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Bournemouth
2-1
Stoke
King (70'), Mousset (79')
Gosling (58'), King (59')
Shaqiri (5')
Ndiaye (38'), Shaqiri (45'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (69')
> Match Report
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