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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Mar 6, 2023 at 8pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Fulham logo

Brentford
3 - 2
Fulham

Pinnock (6'), Toney (53' pen.), Jensen (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Solomon (39'), Vinicius (90+9')
Willian (25'), Lukic (35'), Mitrovic (61')

The Match

Match Report

Brentford extend their Premier League unbeaten run to 12 games with a 3-2 win over West London rivals Fulham.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-0 Leeds
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 50%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawFulham
50% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04) 24.94% (0.012 0.01) 25.06% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.06% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)50.43% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (-0.029 -0.03)72.36% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)20.18% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.52% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)52.48% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.77% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)71.5% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 50%
    Fulham 25.06%
    Draw 24.94%
BrentfordDrawFulham
1-0 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.99% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 50%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.27% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 25.06%

How you voted: Brentford vs Fulham

Brentford
59.6%
Draw
17.9%
Fulham
22.5%
329
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Fulham
3-2
Brentford
Reid (1'), Palhinha (20'), Mitrovic (90')
Palhinha (29'), Tete (31'), Mbabu (90+4')
Norgaard (44'), Toney (71')
Dasilva (56'), Mee (80')
Oct 1, 2020 5.30pm
Fourth Round
Brentford
3-0
Fulham
Forss (37'), Benrahma (62', 77')
Fosu (47')

Kamara (12'), Johansen (49')
Aug 4, 2020 7.45pm
Brentford
1-2
Fulham
Dalsgaard (120+4')
Jensen (88'), Norgaard (103')
Bryan (105', 117')
Reed (29'), Cairney (67'), Hector (98'), Knockaert (102'), Mitrovic (104'), Cavaleiro (120+2'), Rodak (120+4')
Jun 20, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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