FA Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Craven Cottage
Fulham2 - 0Leeds
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Wolves
Friday, February 24 at 8pm in Premier League
Friday, February 24 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League
We said: Fulham 2-1 Leeds United
This has all of the makings of a very entertaining match, but it is difficult to know exactly what to expect when two Premier League sides meet at this stage of the FA Cup. Both managers will make changes, but Fulham's squad is arguably stronger, so we are backing the home side to secure a spot in the next round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Leeds United |
46.27% ( 0.92) | 23.86% ( -0.03) | 29.86% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 59.47% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
