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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Brentford
2 - 0
Bournemouth

Toney (39' pen.), Jensen (75')
Raya (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neto (38')

The Match

Match Report

Brentford move up into eighth in the Premier League after beating Bournemouth 2-0.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Brentford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brentford.

Result
BrentfordDrawBournemouth
55.93% (0.211 0.21) 23.16% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04) 20.91% (-0.167 -0.17)
Both teams to score 52.59% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.25% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.52% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)69.48% (0.012 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (0.067999999999998 0.07)16.72% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.38% (0.125 0.13)46.62% (-0.127 -0.13)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15% (-0.177 -0.18)36.85% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (-0.174 -0.17)73.63% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 55.92%
    Bournemouth 20.91%
    Draw 23.16%
BrentfordDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 11.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.85% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 55.92%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 6.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 20.91%

How you voted: Brentford vs Bournemouth

Brentford
84.8%
Draw
9.3%
Bournemouth
6.0%
151
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
May 22, 2021 12.30pm
Brentford
3-1
Bournemouth
Toney (16' pen.), Janelt (50'), Forss (81')
Toney (17'), Jansson (78'), Dalsgaard (90+1')
Danjuma (5')
Begovic (17'), Lerma (45+5'), Stacey (90+3')
Mepham (28')
May 17, 2021 6pm
Apr 24, 2021 12.30pm
Bournemouth
0-1
Brentford

Lerma (68')
Mbeumo (77')
Jansson (25'), Forss (68'), Toney (80'), Janelt (87')
Jansson (50')
Dec 30, 2020 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Chelsea371791175621360
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371761481602157
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd37176145558-357
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371212135560-548
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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