Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Crystal Palace |
44.57% ( -0.03) | 24.1% ( 0.01) | 31.33% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 59.46% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.19% ( -0.02) | 42.81% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.78% ( -0.02) | 65.21% ( 0.03) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.59% ( -0.02) | 19.4% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.78% ( -0.03) | 51.22% ( 0.04) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% ( 0) | 26.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.67% ( 0) | 61.33% |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Crystal Palace |
2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 44.57% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
6 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
7 | Aston Villa | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
> Premier League Full Table |