Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Crystal Palace |
44.57% ( -0.03) | 24.1% ( 0.01) | 31.33% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 59.46% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.19% ( -0.02) | 42.81% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.78% ( -0.02) | 65.21% ( 0.03) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.59% ( -0.02) | 19.4% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.78% ( -0.03) | 51.22% ( 0.04) |
Crystal Palace Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% ( 0) | 26.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.67% ( 0) | 61.33% |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Crystal Palace |
2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 44.57% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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