Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa3 - 1Crystal Palace
The Match
Match Report
Aston Villa extend their winning record at Villa Park with a comeback victory over Crystal Palace.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-2 Wolves
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Crystal Palace |
43.94% ( 0.08) | 25.79% ( -0.01) | 30.28% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.26% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
