EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa1 - 2Everton
The Match
Match Report
Everton beat Aston Villa 2-1 to book their place in the fourth round of the EFL Cup.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Aston Villa and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-3 Everton
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Everton had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Everton |
41.25% ( 0.06) | 25.09% ( 0.34) | 33.66% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 56.92% ( -1.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.48% ( -1.64) | 46.52% ( 1.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.21% ( -1.56) | 68.79% ( 1.55) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% ( -0.67) | 22.47% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.99% ( -1.02) | 56.01% ( 1.02) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.42% ( -1.02) | 26.58% ( 1.02) |