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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Watford logo

Chelsea
2 - 1
Watford

Havertz (11'), Barkley (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gosling (87')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Watford.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Chelsea and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for their final Premier League fixture with Watford on Sunday.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Watford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Chelsea 3-1 Watford

With both teams expected to make many changes to their starting lineup, this contest will really have an end-of-season feel to it. Nevertheless, Chelsea will want to end an exhausting season on a high, and we expect the Blues to come through in a relatively entertaining game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 77.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 7.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 1-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawWatford
77.69% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 14.44% (0.0010000000000012 0) 7.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Both teams to score 46.06% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)36.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86% (0.0019999999999953 0)59.14%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)7.74% (0.0011000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.45%27.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)50.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)84.71% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 77.69%
    Watford 7.87%
    Draw 14.44%
ChelseaDrawWatford
2-0 @ 12.68%
3-0 @ 10.82%
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 8.78%
3-1 @ 7.49%
4-0 @ 6.92%
4-1 @ 4.79%
5-0 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.59%
5-1 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.66%
6-0 @ 1.51%
6-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 77.69%
1-1 @ 6.86%
0-0 @ 3.88%
2-2 @ 3.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 14.44%
0-1 @ 2.68%
1-2 @ 2.37%
0-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 7.87%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Watford

Chelsea
Draw
Watford
Chelsea
87.7%
Draw
4.8%
Watford
7.5%
146
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
Watford
1-2
Chelsea
Dennis (43')
Louza (45'), Troost-Ekong (45+4'), Cleverley (84'), Rose (84')
Mount (29'), Ziyech (72')
Niguez (16'), Alonso (45+2'), Ziyech (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal291610353242958
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd29107123740-337
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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