Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.