Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
Southampton1 - 4Newcastle
The Match
Match Report
Newcastle United move into third spot in the Premier League table courtesy of a 4-1 victory over Southampton at St Mary's.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Southampton and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 4-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Newcastle United |
28.39% ( 0.55) | 24.66% ( 0.32) | 46.94% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
