Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Southampton |
42.49% ( -0.02) | 26.44% ( -0) | 31.07% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.59% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.99% ( 0.02) | 53.01% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.4% ( 0.02) | 74.61% ( -0.02) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.29% ( -0) | 24.71% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.75% | 59.25% ( -0) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.51% ( 0.03) | 31.49% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.13% ( 0.03) | 67.87% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Southampton |
1-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.49% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
> Premier League Full Table |