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Premier League
Watford logo
Premier League | Gameweek 35
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
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Watford
1 - 2
Burnley

Tarkowski (8' og.)
Kucka (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cork (83'), Brownhill (86')
Tarkowski (48'), Collins (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Watford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

Last Six:
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Watford
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Burnley

Last Six:
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Watford 1-2 Burnley

 Finding the back of the net at the Etihad should give Watford the belief that they can make the net ripple at least once in a game with so much at stake, but a revitalised Burnley are sure to take advantage of the Hornets' ongoing defensive woes. It has been nothing but defeat after defeat for Watford in front of their own fans recently, and while Hodgson will rally his troops as best he can, their fate should be virtually sealed as Burnley boost their own hopes of survival. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
WatfordDrawBurnley
34.45%26.49%39.06%
Both teams to score 52.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57%52.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89%74.11%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04%28.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15%64.85%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74%26.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63%61.36%
Score Analysis
    Watford 34.45%
    Burnley 39.05%
    Draw 26.49%
WatfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 9.42%
2-1 @ 7.81%
2-0 @ 5.84%
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.45%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 8.43%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 3.76%
0-3 @ 3.03%
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 39.05%

How you voted: Watford vs Burnley

Watford
19.3%
Draw
18.2%
Burnley
62.5%
176
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
Burnley
0-0
Watford

Stephens (45')

King (20'), Cleverley (90+1')
Jun 25, 2020 6pm
Burnley
1-0
Watford
> Match Report
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Watford
0-3
Burnley
> Match Report
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Watford
0-0
Burnley

Deulofeu (79')

Mee (63'), Bardsley (82')
> Match Report
Aug 19, 2018 1.30pm
Burnley
1-3
Watford
Tarkowski (6')
Ward (53')
Gray (3'), Deeney (48'), Hughes (51')
Hughes (41'), Janmaat (90')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
3Arsenal20117239182140
4Chelsea21107441261537
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Bournemouth219753225734
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham217953230230
10Brentford218494037328
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
12West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326
> Premier League Full Table


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