Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.