Primeira Liga
Gameweek
15
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Oday Dabbagh
28'
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Oday Dabbagh
64'
Arouca vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
Result
Arouca
35.35%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
28.02%
▼
(-0.08)
Estoril Praia
36.63%
▲
(+0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
47.74%
▲
(+0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5
41.68%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 2.5
58.32%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 3.5
21.06%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 3.5
78.94%
▼
(-0.24)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
68.69%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 0.5
31.31%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 1.5
32.33%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 1.5
67.67%
▼
(-0.15)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5
69.5%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 0.5
30.5%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
33.28%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
66.72%
▼
(-0.27)
Score analysis
Arouca
35.34%
Draw
28.01%
Estoril Praia
36.62%
Arouca
1-0
@
11.08%
▼
(-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 35.34%
2-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 35.34%
Draw
1-1
@
13.16%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.01%
0-0 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.01%
Estoril Praia
0-1
@
11.33%
▼
(-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 36.62%
1-2 @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 36.62%
Hugo Basto
41'