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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Braga

Estoril
0 - 2
Braga


Serginho (69'), Ndiaye (81'), Carlos (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Elmusrati (10'), Oliveira (31')
Gomes (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Estoril
Friday, October 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Union SG 3-3 Braga
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Braga

 Fresh off the back of ending their four-game winless run, Braga will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to put together a fine run of form. However, they face a spirited Estoril Praia side who have picked up three wins and two draws in their last five matches across all competitions. We predict that the hosts will do just enough to frustrate Braga and force a share of the spoils on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawBraga
18.19% (0.119 0.12) 22.87% (0.263 0.26) 58.95% (-0.385 -0.38)
Both teams to score 49.08% (-0.59 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (-0.9 -0.9)49.68% (0.895 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3% (-0.811 -0.81)71.7% (0.807 0.81)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.79% (-0.39100000000001 -0.39)41.2% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.26% (-0.348 -0.35)77.74% (0.345 0.34)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (-0.447 -0.45)16.53% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.72% (-0.807 -0.81)46.27% (0.803 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 18.19%
    Braga 58.93%
    Draw 22.86%
Estoril PraiaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.04% (0.155 0.16)
2-1 @ 4.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 2.68% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.42% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 18.19%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.245 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 12.25% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 11.03% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.62% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-4 @ 2.98% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.64% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.07% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 58.93%

How you voted: Estoril vs Braga

Estoril Praia
17.6%
Draw
17.6%
Braga
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 8.30pm
Estoril
0-0
Braga

Gamboa (90')
Dec 5, 2021 8.30pm
Braga
2-0
Estoril
Horta (34', 39')
Oliveira (13'), Silva (15'), Mineiro (20'), Gorby (81'), Silva (90+6')
Mineiro (65')

Fonte (49'), Soria (57'), Baro (71')
Mar 3, 2018 8.30pm
Estoril
0-6
Braga

Kleber (22'), Allano (47'), Dankler (89')
Eduardo (7'), Paulinho (44', 68'), Horta (45', 93'), Martins (77')
Silva (36')
Oct 1, 2017 5.15pm
Braga
6-0
Estoril
Sousa (17'), Silva (41'), Martins (54'), Xadas (57'), Horta (61', 83')

Eduardo (65')
Feb 6, 2017 9pm
Braga
1-1
Estoril
Rosic (54')
Fonte (38'), Silva (50'), Assis (78')
Kleber (35')
Claro (27'), Eduardo (62'), Kleber (62'), Brandao (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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