Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Estoril Praia |
50.81% ( 0) | 25.9% ( 0) | 23.29% |
Both teams to score 47.47% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.43% ( -0) | 55.57% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.26% ( -0) | 76.74% ( 0.01) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.07% | 21.93% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.8% ( -0) | 55.2% ( 0.01) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.8% ( -0) | 39.2% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.08% ( -0) | 75.91% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 13.04% 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 5.01% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.03% Total : 50.8% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.72% 0-2 @ 3.77% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |