Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
33.92% ( 0.23) | 26.88% ( -0.05) | 39.2% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 51.04% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.9% ( 0.25) | 54.1% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.48% ( 0.21) | 75.52% ( -0.21) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.88% ( 0.27) | 30.12% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.73% ( 0.33) | 66.26% ( -0.33) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% ( 0.02) | 26.95% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.7% ( 0.03) | 62.29% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
14 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Nacional | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 13 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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