Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boavista 3-2 Benfica
Monday, August 14 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, August 14 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, August 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, August 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Benfica 6-0 Estrela Amadora
Motivated by an opening day defeat, Benfica may show no mercy on their newly-promoted visitors here. Estrela had virtually no threat in their opening day defeat and will almost certainly just look to hold on for as long as possible and keep the scoreline down in this mismatched encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 84.87%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 4-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.72%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
84.87% ( 0.28) | 10.13% ( -0.16) | 5% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 47.06% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
