Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon2 - 2Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Maritimo
Saturday, May 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-5 Benfica
Saturday, May 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Benfica
Sunday's showdown is destined to be a lively encounter between two fierce rivals, so we expect Sporting and Benfica to serve up an entertaining draw at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Benfica |
30.21% ( -0.37) | 25.16% ( 0.24) | 44.64% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
