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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
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Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Sporting Lisbon
Braga
1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon
Djalo (78')
Niakate (45+4'), Jorge (45+6'), Carvalho (83')
Jorge (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goncalves (25')
Gyokeres (27'), Morita (33'), Amorim (40'), Inacio (90'), Goncalves (90'), Diomande (90+4')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Panathinaikos 0-1 Braga
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Braga 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Braga and Sporting Lisbon have both put together a fine run of form to start the season and we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Estadio Braga Municipal. Amorim's side have won each of their last three Primeira Liga away games and we fancy them snatching all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Braga had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
36.81% (0.463 0.46) 25.66% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 37.52% (-0.553 -0.55)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (-0.381 -0.38)48.68% (0.38 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (-0.349 -0.35)70.79% (0.346 0.35)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (0.084000000000003 0.08)25.76% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.29% (0.113 0.11)60.71% (-0.114 -0.11)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.47800000000001 -0.48)25.37% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)60.16% (0.66 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Braga 36.81%
    Sporting Lisbon 37.52%
    Draw 25.66%
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.035 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.81%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.52%

How you voted: Braga vs Sporting Lisbon

Braga
25.9%
Draw
3.7%
Sporting Lisbon
70.4%
27
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 9.15pm
Gameweek 18
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Morita (9', 46'), Edwards (61'), Reis (86'), Goncalves (90+3' pen.)
Dec 19, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Inacio (4'), Paulinho (7'), Goncalves (20' pen.), Trincao (41'), Edwards (45+4' pen.)
Aug 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Braga
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Banza (14'), Niakate (45+1'), Ruiz (88')
Niakate (22'), Elmusrati (24')
Goncalves (9'), Santos (18'), Edwards (83')
Nunes (68'), Goncalves (74')
Jan 22, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Braga
Goncalves (24')
Sarabia (45'), Coates (51'), Nunes (90+1')
Galeno (52' pen.), Gorby (90+7')
Castro (57'), Ruiz (90+2'), Hornicek (90+7'), Magalhaes (90+9')
Aug 14, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Braga
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Ruiz (90+2')
Silva (22'), Fransergio (37'), Galeno (69')
Cabral (40'), Goncalves (50')
Coates (57'), Reis (70'), Adan (90+4')
Reis (80')
rhs 2.0
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Sinner
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica97111981122
2Sporting Lisbon87101771022
3Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes96121710719
4Porto8611116519
5Braga95222317617
6BoavistaBoavista84311813515
7MoreirenseMoreirense94231210214
8FamalicaoFamalicao833288012
9PortimonensePortimonense93241018-811
10Gil Vicente93152118310
11Casa Pia924388010
12Estrela Amadora8224812-48
13SC FarenseFarense8215111107
14ChavesChaves92161226-147
15Vizela81341014-46
16AroucaArouca9135914-56
17Rio AveRio Ave8125614-85
18Estoril PraiaEstoril91171420-64

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