Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.74%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
77.74% ( -0.01) | 13.25% ( 0) | 9% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 57.41% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.98% ( -0.01) | 26.02% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.76% ( -0.01) | 46.24% ( 0.01) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.61% ( -0) | 5.39% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.87% ( -0.01) | 21.13% ( 0.01) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.68% | 39.32% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.98% ( 0) | 76.02% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0) 3-1 @ 8.21% 4-0 @ 6.43% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.83% 5-0 @ 3.75% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.8% 6-0 @ 1.83% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 5.58% Total : 77.74% | 1-1 @ 5.78% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.94% 0-0 @ 2.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.23% Total : 13.25% | 1-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.23% 0-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
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