Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 51.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Casa Pia |
23.3% ( -0.19) | 25.58% ( 0.09) | 51.11% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.36% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.6% ( -0.5) | 54.4% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.22% ( -0.42) | 75.77% ( 0.42) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.46% ( -0.46) | 38.54% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.71% ( -0.44) | 75.29% ( 0.44) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% ( -0.17) | 21.31% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.74% ( -0.26) | 54.26% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 23.3% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 35 |
6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 29 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |