MX23RW : Thursday, March 13 22:32:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Portimonense

Chaves
2 - 0
Portimonense

Juninho (31'), Abass (73')
Queiros (51'), Moura (80'), Cruz (83'), Guimaraes (90+4')
Moura (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ventura (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 1-3 Porto
Saturday, March 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, March 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 2-1 Portimonense

Chaves and Portimonense head into the weekend level on points in the league table and we expect a cagey affair in this one. The Alvinegros have struggled for results away from home this season and we are tipping Campelos's side to claim a slender victory in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawPortimonense
43.5% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66) 26.27% (0.126 0.13) 30.23% (0.537 0.54)
Both teams to score 51.72% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (-0.27099999999999 -0.27)52.67% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69% (-0.233 -0.23)74.31% (0.235 0.23)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (-0.441 -0.44)24.05% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67% (-0.634 -0.63)58.33% (0.636 0.64)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1% (0.25 0.25)31.9% (-0.247 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.65% (0.284 0.28)68.35% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 43.49%
    Portimonense 30.23%
    Draw 26.27%
ChavesDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 43.49%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.77% (0.153 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.082 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.01% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.23%

How you voted: Chaves vs Portimonense

Chaves
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Portimonense
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 8.15pm
Jan 29, 2019 7pm
Portimonense
0-1
Chaves

Tormena (32'), Martinez (53'), Possignolo (55'), Paulinho (90')
Costinha (38')
Filipe (42'), Jefferson (54'), Campi (61'), Sen (73'), Maras (90'), Lionn (95')
Aug 18, 2018 4.30pm
Chaves
2-0
Portimonense
Marcao (27' pen.), Perdigao (31')
Paulinho (45'), Eustaquio (59'), Melo (70')

Nakajima (15'), Ewerton (23'), Manafa (42'), Lazaroni (91')
Apr 22, 2018 4pm
Chaves
2-1
Portimonense
Tiba (61', 67')
Tiba (74')
Fabricio (76')
Rafa (92')
Dec 10, 2017 4pm
Portimonense
0-1
Chaves

Sa (42'), Hackman (84'), Possignolo (90')
Tiba (90' pen.)
Duarte (37'), Davidson (79'), Jefferson (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2581072826234
10Rio AveRio Ave2578102740-1329
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!