Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Chaves2 - 0Portimonense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chaves 1-3 Porto
Saturday, March 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, March 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
18
We said: Chaves 2-1 Portimonense
Chaves and Portimonense head into the weekend level on points in the league table and we expect a cagey affair in this one. The Alvinegros have struggled for results away from home this season and we are tipping Campelos's side to claim a slender victory in front of their home fans. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Portimonense |
43.5% ( -0.66) | 26.27% ( 0.13) | 30.23% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 51.72% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.33% ( -0.27) | 52.67% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.69% ( -0.23) | 74.31% ( 0.23) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% ( -0.44) | 24.05% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.67% ( -0.63) | 58.33% ( 0.64) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.1% ( 0.25) | 31.9% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.65% ( 0.28) | 68.35% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
Chaves 43.49%
Portimonense 30.23%
Draw 26.27%
| Chaves | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.71% Total : 43.49% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.23% |
How you voted: Chaves vs Portimonense
Chaves
66.7%Draw
16.7%Portimonense
16.7%6
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 8.15pm
Jan 29, 2019 7pm
Apr 22, 2018 4pm
Dec 10, 2017 4pm
Form Guide
