MX23RW : Sunday, March 23 19:32:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Gil Vicente logo

Estoril
1 - 3
Gil Vicente

Marques (46')
Vital (25'), Seabra (26'), Marques (57')
Gomes (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pereira (59'), Correia (69'), Alipour (90+6')
Pereira (37'), Toure (51'), Correia (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boavista 2-1 Estoril
Saturday, February 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Vizela
Tuesday, February 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Gil Vicente

With just one point separating Estoril and Gil Vicente at the bottom end of the table, we expect both sides to go all out in search of all three points. The Gilistas' form on the road has been nothing to write home about in the league and we are backing Seabra's men to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawGil Vicente
45.57% (0.613 0.61) 24.54% (0.139 0.14) 29.89% (-0.748 -0.75)
Both teams to score 57.16% (-0.905 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.51% (-0.998 -1)45.49% (1.002 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.18% (-0.957 -0.96)67.82% (0.962 0.96)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-0.142 -0.14)20.06% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.71% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)52.29% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5% (-1 -1)28.5% (1.004 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.73% (-1.274 -1.27)64.27% (1.279 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 45.58%
    Gil Vicente 29.89%
    Draw 24.53%
Estoril PraiaDrawGil Vicente
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.348 0.35)
2-0 @ 7.38% (0.248 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.95% (0.115 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 45.58%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.241 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-1 @ 7.18% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 29.89%

How you voted: Estoril vs Gil Vicente

Estoril Praia
Draw
Gil Vicente
Estoril Praia
52.6%
Draw
26.3%
Gil Vicente
21.1%
38
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 5
Gil Vicente
5-3
Estoril
Tiba (9'), Dominguez (39'), Costa (45+2' pen.), Correia (54'), Depu (56')
Dominguez (57'), Correia (65'), Gbane (69')
Cassiano (51' pen., 84'), Marques (61')
Alvaro (13'), Cassiano (15')
Mar 31, 2023 8.15pm
Oct 7, 2022 8.15pm
Mar 4, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 25
Gil Vicente
0-0
Estoril
Aburjania (20'), Pedrinho (54')
Silva (88')
Oct 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 8
Estoril
2-2
Gil Vicente
Fonte (11'), Franco (45+2' pen.)
Rosier (29'), Chiquinho (38')
Lino (42'), Navarro (50')
Carlos (44'), Costa (65'), Leautey (75'), Pedrinho (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon26195270234762
2Benfica25192459203959
3Porto26165551203153
4Braga26165542222053
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2613492725243
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes26101153627941
7Casa Pia26106103235-336
8Estoril PraiaEstoril269983441-736
9FamalicaoFamalicao2681082929034
10MoreirenseMoreirense2687113137-631
11Nacional2685132636-1029
12Rio AveRio Ave2678112943-1429
13AroucaArouca2678112539-1429
14Gil Vicente2558122437-1323
15Estrela Amadora2658132138-1723
16AVS26411112037-1723
17SC FarenseFarense2638151737-2017
18BoavistaBoavista2636171643-2715


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