Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 4, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica3 - 0Casa Pia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Tuesday, January 31 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Tuesday, January 31 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia
Casa Pia face the stern challenge of squaring off against a rampant Benfica side who are currently firing on all cylinders. As Aguias are unbeaten on home soil this season and, given the gulf in experience and quality between the two sides, we are backing them to ease to a comfortable victory on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.27%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 9.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Casa Pia |
76.27% ( 1.77) | 14.61% ( -1.08) | 9.11% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 51.62% ( 1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
