Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Braga4 - 1Famalicao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Wednesday, February 1 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Wednesday, February 1 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Braga 2-1 Famalicao
Off the back of a humbling loss to Sporting Lisbon, Braga will head into the weekend looking to make an immediate positive reaction. Famalicao have proven tough to crack in recent weeks and we expect them to put up a fight. Nonetheless, Braga boasts the firepower needed to get the job done and we anticipate that they will come away with a narrow victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
63.82% ( -0.07) | 21.93% ( 0.03) | 14.25% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.69% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( -0.02) | 52.48% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( -0.01) | 74.15% ( 0.02) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.16% ( -0.03) | 15.84% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.96% ( -0.06) | 45.03% ( 0.06) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.92% ( 0.06) | 48.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.71% ( 0.04) | 83.29% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Braga 63.81%
Famalicao 14.25%
Draw 21.92%
| Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 14.03% 2-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.86% Total : 63.81% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.57% Total : 21.92% | 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 14.25% |
How you voted: Braga vs Famalicao
Braga
89.7%Draw
10.3%Famalicao
0.0%39
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2022 8.15pm
Famalicao
0-3
Braga
Batubinsika (25'), De La Fuente (90+3'), Sa (90+5')
