Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Moreirense win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Estoril Praia has a probability of 27.29% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win is 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.21%).
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
48.77% ( 0.2) | 23.93% ( -0.07) | 27.29% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 57.37% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.62% ( 0.21) | 44.38% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.24% ( 0.21) | 66.75% ( -0.21) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.69% ( 0.16) | 18.31% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.6% ( 0.28) | 49.39% ( -0.28) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.22% ( 0.01) | 29.77% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.15% ( 0.01) | 65.84% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.49% Total : 48.77% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 27.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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