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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Estoril

Moreirense
2 - 1
Estoril

Mingotti (5'), Franco (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carlos (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Moreirense
Sunday, May 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, May 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Moreirense 2-0 Estoril Praia

Moreirense have enjoyed an impressive return to the top flight and will be looking to close out the campaign on a high. Borges's men are currently firing on all cylinders having hit their stride once again and we see them coming away with all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.

Result
MoreirenseDrawEstoril Praia
38.61% (-1.357 -1.36) 25.37% (-0.376 -0.38) 36.02% (1.736 1.74)
Both teams to score 56.4% (1.564 1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.61% (1.898 1.9)47.39% (-1.897 -1.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (1.736 1.74)69.6% (-1.734 -1.73)
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (0.143 0.14)24.19% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.48% (0.204 0.2)58.52% (-0.202 -0.2)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (1.925 1.93)25.61% (-1.924 -1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.51% (2.552 2.55)60.49% (-2.551 -2.55)
Score Analysis
    Moreirense 38.61%
    Estoril Praia 36.02%
    Draw 25.36%
MoreirenseDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.676 -0.68)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.452 -0.45)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.117 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.61%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.505 -0.51)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.223 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.281 0.28)
0-2 @ 5.75% (0.175 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.318 0.32)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.236 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.214 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.169 0.17)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 36.02%

How you voted: Moreirense vs Estoril

Moreirense
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Estoril Praia
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 17
Estoril
1-3
Moreirense
Carlos (90')
Gomes (25'), Fernandes (83')
Aparicio (30'), Marcelo (33'), Alan (74')
Ramos (39'), Alan (45+2'), Antonisse (73')
May 7, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 33
Estoril
1-0
Moreirense
Franco (64')
Mboula (44'), Vital (81'), Vega (90+3'), Fonte (90+4'), Joaozinho (90+5')
Vital (84')

Mane (53'), Amador (74'), Luis (81')
Dec 28, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 16
Moreirense
1-0
Estoril
Martins (28')
Soares (47'), Yan (84')

Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (21'), Patrick (63'), Arthur (78'), Geraldes (87')
Feb 12, 2018 8pm
Moreirense
1-2
Estoril
Toze (10')
Semedo (60'), Belkaroui (86'), Sagna (89')
Allano (72'), Eduardo (81' pen.)
Ailton (19'), Kyriakou (54')
Sep 10, 2017 8.15pm
Estoril
0-2
Moreirense

Abner (53'), Allano (83')
Abarhoun (34'), Zizo (75')
Costa (26'), Santos (63'), Pena (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon22164259184152
2Benfica22162450183250
3Porto21134445182743
4Braga21134438201843
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2212282523238
6Casa Pia229672928133
7Estoril PraiaEstoril228772834-631
8Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes217953025530
9MoreirenseMoreirense2275102833-526
10FamalicaoFamalicao2151062224-225
11Rio AveRio Ave216782335-1225
12AroucaArouca2266102134-1324
13Nacional2265112130-923
14Gil Vicente215792332-922
15Estrela Amadora2255121934-1520
16AVS213991631-1518
17SC FarenseFarense2136121330-1715
18BoavistaBoavista2226141437-2312


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