Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Casa Pia has a probability of 33.05% and a draw has a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Casa Pia win is 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.05%).
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Moreirense |
33.05% ( -0.45) | 27.67% ( 0.1) | 39.28% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 48.46% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.73% ( -0.45) | 57.27% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.89% ( -0.36) | 78.11% ( 0.36) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.7% ( -0.53) | 32.3% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.2% ( -0.61) | 68.8% ( 0.6) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.59% ( -0.02) | 28.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.84% ( -0.03) | 64.16% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.71% Total : 33.05% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 39.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 93 | 29 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 6 | 18 | 9 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 36 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 29 |
R | Vizela | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 25 |
R | ChavesChaves | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 23 |
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