Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
35.21% ( 0.15) | 25.69% ( 0.04) | 39.09% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 55.18% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.09% ( -0.18) | 48.9% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29% ( -0.16) | 70.99% ( 0.17) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.21% | 26.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.92% | 62.07% ( -0) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.38% ( -0.18) | 24.62% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.87% ( -0.25) | 59.12% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.21% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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