Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
33.99% ( 0.19) | 24.41% ( 0.11) | 41.59% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 59.39% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.66% ( -0.47) | 43.34% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.26% ( -0.46) | 65.74% ( 0.47) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.13% ( -0.11) | 24.87% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.52% ( -0.15) | 59.48% ( 0.16) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.05% ( -0.33) | 20.95% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.31% ( -0.53) | 53.69% ( 0.53) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.99% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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