Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Casa Pia |
31.1% ( 0.15) | 26.12% ( -0.03) | 42.78% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 52.57% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.25% ( 0.2) | 51.74% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.48% ( 0.17) | 73.51% ( -0.17) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.18% ( 0.2) | 30.82% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.9% ( 0.23) | 67.1% ( -0.23) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76% ( 0.03) | 24% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.74% ( 0.05) | 58.25% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.1% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 42.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
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