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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 6pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Benfica

Casa Pia
0 - 1
Benfica

FT(HT: 0-0)
Cabral (74')
Luis (45'), Silva (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-1 Casa Pia
Friday, March 8 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rangers 0-1 Benfica
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Casa Pia 0-2 Benfica

Brimming with confidence from their midweek European success, Benfica will head into the weekend looking to return to winning ways. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we are backing Schmidt's men to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 17.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Casa PiaDrawBenfica
17.6% (-0.353 -0.35) 22.86% (-0.308 -0.31) 59.54% (0.66 0.66)
Both teams to score 48.01% (0.255 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (0.687 0.69)50.55% (-0.69 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (0.606 0.61)72.47% (-0.60599999999999 -0.61)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.58% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)42.42% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.2% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)78.8% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.37% (0.474 0.47)16.62% (-0.475 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.54% (0.845 0.84)46.45% (-0.846 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 17.6%
    Benfica 59.53%
    Draw 22.86%
Casa PiaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 6.05% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-1 @ 4.65% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 2.59% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 17.6%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 12.65% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 11.35% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 6.79% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.82% (0.11 0.11)
0-4 @ 3.05% (0.106 0.11)
1-4 @ 2.61% (0.09 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.038 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.09% (0.055 0.05)
1-5 @ 0.94% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 59.53%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Benfica

Casa Pia
14.3%
Draw
4.8%
Benfica
81.0%
21
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 9
Benfica
1-1
Casa Pia
Mario (44')
Luis (73')
Larrazabal (81')
Larrazabal (41'), Roberto (72')
Feb 4, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 19
Benfica
3-0
Casa Pia
Mario (35', 43'), Bah (71')
Aug 13, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 2
Casa Pia
0-1
Benfica

Neto (7'), Godwin (27'), Taira (31'), Kunimoto (53'), Fernandes (59'), Anderson (90+1')
Ramos (59')
Otamendi (29'), Luis (30'), Silva (90+5')
Otamendi (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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