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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Portimao
Porto

Portimonense
0 - 3
Porto


Costa (13'), Carrillo (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gonzalez (7'), Galeno (59'), Pepe (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions
Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Vizela
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-0 Benfica
Sunday, March 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 0-3 Porto

 With plenty of renewed confidence in their camp following the recent beating of Benfica, and the chance to narrow the gap to the top two, Porto should have far too much for the struggling hosts, and we see them putting up another dominant victory on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.08%) and 0-3 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortimonenseDrawPorto
11.08% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 18.35% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 70.57% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.48% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)44.94% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)67.29% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.38% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.62% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.32% (0.0010000000000012 0)83.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.51% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)36.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 11.08%
    Porto 70.56%
    Draw 18.35%
PortimonenseDrawPorto
1-0 @ 4.03% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-1 @ 3.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 11.08%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.35%
0-2 @ 13.07%
0-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 9.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 6.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 5.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 3.68% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-5 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 70.56%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Porto

Portimonense
13.5%
Draw
16.2%
Porto
70.3%
37
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 8
Porto
1-0
Portimonense
Evanilson (9')
Carmo (16'), Varela (32'), Gonzalez (81')
Carmo (83')

Victor Tornich (60'), Guga (65'), Relvas (69'), Dener (77'), Amorim (87'), Carlinhos (90+1'), Sergio (90+6')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 26
Porto
1-0
Portimonense
Cardoso (30')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
Portimonense
0-2
Porto
Otavio (22'), Pepe (52')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Porto
7-0
Portimonense
Taremi (19', 34' pen., 47'), Grujic (28'), Evanilson (40', 60'), Pepe (55')

Aponza (81'), Da Costa (84')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 13
Portimonense
0-3
Porto

Portugal (45+4'), Luquinhas (59'), Willyan (77')
Sa (45+3' og.), Vitinha (70'), Otavio (75')
Uribe (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon33283293296487
2Benfica33254476274979
3Porto33216662273569
4Braga33215771492268
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes33186949371260
6MoreirenseMoreirense33157113434052
7AroucaArouca33137135347646
8FamalicaoFamalicao331012113639-342
9SC FarenseFarense33107164548-337
10Rio AveRio Ave3361893742-536
11Gil Vicente3399154251-936
12Casa Pia3398163649-1335
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3396184856-833
14BoavistaBoavista33710163760-2331
15Estrela Amadora33612153253-2130
16PortimonensePortimonense3378183671-3529
RVizela33510183464-3025
RChavesChaves3358203169-3823
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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