Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.08%) and 0-3 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
11.08% ( 0.01) | 18.35% ( 0.01) | 70.57% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 45.48% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.06% ( -0.02) | 44.94% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% ( -0.02) | 67.29% ( 0.02) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.38% ( 0) | 48.62% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.32% ( 0) | 83.68% ( -0) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.51% ( -0.01) | 11.48% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.66% ( -0.02) | 36.34% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 4.03% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.14% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 11.08% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.35% | 0-2 @ 13.07% 0-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 9.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-4 @ 5.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 0-5 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.59% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 70.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
3 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
14 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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