Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Portimonense2 - 1Maritimo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Portimonense
Saturday, February 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Maritimo 1-2 Braga
Sunday, February 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Portimonense 2-0 Maritimo
Portimonense have picked up four points from their last two home games and will be looking to maintain this solid run. The Alvinegros have enjoyed a fine run of results against Maritimo and we are tipping them to come away with a slender victory in front of their home fans. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Maritimo |
52.27% ( 0.04) | 25.5% ( -0.01) | 22.24% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.4% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
