Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Rio Ave |
35.4% ( -1.11) | 27.58% ( 0.38) | 37.03% ( 0.73) |
Both teams to score 49.08% ( -1.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.34% ( -1.52) | 56.66% ( 1.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.38% ( -1.24) | 77.62% ( 1.24) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.55% ( -1.44) | 30.45% ( 1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.35% ( -1.74) | 66.66% ( 1.75) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.56% ( -0.3) | 29.44% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.56% ( -0.37) | 65.44% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.39% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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