Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Braga had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Braga |
51.38% | 23.29% | 25.33% |
Both teams to score 57.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.92% | 43.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.52% | 65.48% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.17% | 16.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.17% | 46.82% |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.4% | 30.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.17% | 66.83% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Braga |
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-0 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.38% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 5.73% 0-0 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-1 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.95% Total : 25.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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