Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Sep 19, 2020 at 9pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Porto3 - 1Braga
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Braga.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Braga had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Braga |
| 51.38% | 23.29% | 25.33% |
| Both teams to score 57.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.92% | 43.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.52% | 65.48% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% | 16.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.17% | 46.82% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% | 30.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.17% | 66.83% |
| Score Analysis |
Porto 51.38%
Braga 25.33%
Draw 23.28%
| Porto | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-0 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.38% | 1-1 @ 10.86% 2-2 @ 5.73% 0-0 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 6.44% 0-1 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 2.54% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.95% Total : 25.33% |
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2020 9.15pm
Gameweek 34
Braga
2-1
Porto
Horta (54'), Fransergio (66')
Palhinha (45'), Paulinho (50'), Fransergio (70'), Magalhaes (80'), Horta (90')
Palhinha (45'), Paulinho (50'), Fransergio (70'), Magalhaes (80'), Horta (90')
Jan 17, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 17
Porto
1-2
Braga
Fransergio (5'), Paulinho (75')
Fransergio (6'), Luis (42'), Esgaio (65'), Horta (65'), Palhinha (68'), Magalhaes (83')
Fransergio (6'), Luis (42'), Esgaio (65'), Horta (65'), Palhinha (68'), Magalhaes (83')
Feb 26, 2019 8.15pm
