MX23RW : Wednesday, January 15 05:33:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 22, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Gil Vicente logo

Casa Pia
1 - 3
Gil Vicente

Martins (46')
Baro (44'), Martins (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Navarro (50', 62'), Carvalho (54')
Kritsyuk (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Casa Pia
Monday, January 16 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-1 Guimaraes
Monday, January 16 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 2-1 Gil Vicente

On course to make their maiden appearance in a UEFA-organised competition across the club's 102-year history, we predict that Casa Pia will take one step closer to their end-of-season aim with three points at the Estadio Pina Manique on Sunday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawGil Vicente
32.02% (-1.039 -1.04) 26.59% (-0.29 -0.29) 41.39% (1.329 1.33)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.597 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.66% (0.903 0.9)53.34% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.12% (0.759 0.76)74.88% (-0.759 -0.76)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (-0.241 -0.24)31% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.69% (-0.285 -0.28)67.3% (0.28399999999999 0.28)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58% (1.123 1.12)25.42% (-1.122 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.76% (1.511 1.51)60.24% (-1.512 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 32.02%
    Gil Vicente 41.39%
    Draw 26.59%
Casa PiaDrawGil Vicente
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.397 -0.4)
2-1 @ 7.4% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.27 -0.27)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.02%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.077 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 10.79% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.189 0.19)
0-2 @ 7.39% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.208 0.21)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.199 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.107 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.112 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.39%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Gil Vicente

Casa Pia
92.9%
Draw
0.0%
Gil Vicente
7.1%
14
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto17131340112940
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Nacional174491323-1016
14Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
15AVS172961324-1115
16AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
17SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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