Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Gil Vicente |
29.33% ( 0.01) | 24.39% ( 0) | 46.28% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.31% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.87% ( -0.01) | 45.13% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.52% ( -0.01) | 67.48% ( 0.01) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.3% ( 0) | 28.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.47% ( 0) | 64.53% ( -0) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.38% ( -0.01) | 19.62% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.43% ( -0.01) | 51.57% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.33% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 46.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |