Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga2 - 1Rio Ave
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-3 Braga
Tuesday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Tuesday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-4 Moreirense
Sunday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Braga 3-0 Rio Ave
Braga are playing with much more confidence again despite an under-par opening half-hour against Union Berlin in midweek. The fight they showed to come back and win suggests Braga's season is well and truly off and running, and they should have no problem in beating a Rio Ave side hopelessly out of form. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Rio Ave |
56.94% ( 0.09) | 22.56% ( -0.05) | 20.49% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.78% ( 0.17) | 45.21% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.44% ( 0.16) | 67.55% ( -0.16) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.34% ( 0.09) | 15.65% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.32% ( 0.17) | 44.67% ( -0.17) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.89% ( 0.05) | 36.1% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.11% ( 0.05) | 72.88% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Braga 56.93%
Rio Ave 20.49%
Draw 22.56%
| Braga | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 56.93% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.56% | 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.49% |
How you voted: Braga vs Rio Ave
Braga
100%Draw
0.0%Rio Ave
0.0%21
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 8.30pm
Sep 11, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Rio Ave
2-3
Braga
Apr 17, 2021 8.30pm
Dec 22, 2020 8.15pm
Jun 30, 2020 9.30pm
Gameweek 29
Rio Ave
4-3
Braga
