MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 17:41:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 5, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Estrela Amadora

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 2
Estrela Amadora

Braganca (33'), Edwards (71'), Paulinho (79')
Goncalves (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jaba (50' pen.), Kikas (55')
Kikas (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-2 Farense
Thursday, November 2 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, October 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Estrela Amadora

 Estrela should be much fresher having not had to compete in midweek, but they have fallen short against Portugal's strongest teams this season, and we expect that trend to continue on Sunday. Sporting are unlikely to run away with things given their gruelling fixture congestion in recent weeks, but they will be happy to secure a sixth successive win in any way possible in order to maintain their status at the division's summit ahead of a crucial derby match next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.62%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 6.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.73%) and 1-0 (11.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawEstrela Amadora
78.62% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1) 14.45% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 6.93% (0.05 0.05)
Both teams to score 41.05% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)40.79% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.18% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.58% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)8.42% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.74% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)29.26% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.82% (0.14 0.14)55.18% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.01% (0.085000000000001 0.09)87.99% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 78.6%
    Estrela Amadora 6.93%
    Draw 14.45%
Sporting LisbonDrawEstrela Amadora
2-0 @ 14.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 11.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 11.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 7.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
5-0 @ 3.59% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.011 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 78.6%
1-1 @ 6.84% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 2.52% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 14.45%
0-1 @ 2.76% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.03% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 6.93%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora

Sporting Lisbon
100%
Draw
0.0%
Estrela Amadora
0.0%
36
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente195772228-622
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15AVS193971527-1218
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912
> Primeira Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!