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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Portimonense

Farense
1 - 3
Portimonense

Ponde (55')
Pastor (49'), Silva (58')
Pastor (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Pereira (11'), Carlinhos (32'), Ventura (90+7')
Guga (83')
Relvas (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-0 Farense
Sunday, May 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 2-2 Rio Ave
Saturday, May 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 1-2 Portimonense

SC Farense certainly boasts the stronger squad heading into this match, and on paper, they will be considered the favourites to win due to the season that they have had. However, with so much on the line for the visitors and the threat of relegation looming over them, they could pick up three points here to give themselves a fighting chance of survival. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawPortimonense
48.92% (-0.215 -0.22) 22.17% (-0.111 -0.11) 28.91% (0.327 0.33)
Both teams to score 64.99% (0.663 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.1% (0.767 0.77)34.9% (-0.766 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.12% (0.852 0.85)56.88% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.3% (0.208 0.21)14.7% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.12% (0.39700000000001 0.4)42.88% (-0.396 -0.4)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19% (0.59399999999999 0.59)23.81% (-0.595 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02% (0.84500000000001 0.85)57.98% (-0.845 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 48.92%
    Portimonense 28.91%
    Draw 22.17%
SC FarenseDrawPortimonense
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.71% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 4.23% (0.076 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.017 0.02)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 48.92%
1-1 @ 9.63% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 3.5% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-3 @ 2.03% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.02% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.088 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.045 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 28.91%

How you voted: Farense vs Portimonense

SC Farense
0.0%
Draw
20.0%
Portimonense
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 17
Portimonense
1-0
Farense
Carlinhos (58' pen.)
Pedrao (18'), Carlinhos (69')

Caseres (39'), Delgado (73'), Muscat (90+5')
Apr 27, 2021 9.45pm
Gameweek 29
Farense
1-1
Portimonense
Henrique (24')
Mancha (35'), Lucca (41')
Boa Morte (79')
Willyan (33'), Cande (83')
Jan 4, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 12
Portimonense
2-0
Farense
Beto (72', 90+2')
Willyan (55'), Luquinhas (68'), Dener (89')

Stojiljkovic (45+2'), Pinto (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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