Sporting Lisbon

1 - 1

Arouca

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 8.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.54%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.