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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 24, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Sporting Lisbon

Guimaraes
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon


Maga (4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Goncalves (47'), Arthur (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Guimaraes
Friday, April 14 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-3 Sporting Lisbon

Sporting have found wins hard to come by of late, but they will fancy their chances of seeing off the threat of an out-of-sorts Vitoria side. We are backing the away side to emerge triumphant in a relatively comfortable manner come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawSporting Lisbon
20.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 23.57% (0.026 0.03) 55.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.43% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.15% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)48.85% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05% (-0.084 -0.08)70.95% (0.089999999999989 0.09)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)37.68% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.54% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)74.46% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)17.47% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.06% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)47.95% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 20.98%
    Sporting Lisbon 55.45%
    Draw 23.56%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 6.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.47%
2-0 @ 3.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 20.98%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 11.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 10.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 5.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.45%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon

Vitoria de Guimaraes
8.2%
Draw
8.2%
Sporting Lisbon
83.7%
49
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 12
Sporting Lisbon
3-0
Guimaraes
Edwards (34', 55'), Morita (40')
Morita (15')
Mar 19, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 27
Guimaraes
1-3
Sporting Lisbon
Estupinan (23')
Fernandes (26'), Mumin (27'), Silva (39'), Varela (45')
Pepa (28')
Sarabia (45+1' pen.), Paulinho (70'), Edwards (90+8')
Santos (51'), Esgaio (54')
Oct 30, 2021 9.15pm
gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Guimaraes
Coates (31')
Feddal (88'), Ugarte (90')

Silva (23'), Borevkovic (25')
Mar 20, 2021 8.30pm
Nov 7, 2020 8.30pm
gameweek 7
Guimaraes
0-4
Sporting Lisbon

Agu (3'), Andre (39'), Suliman (42')
Santos (11'), Goncalves (43', 55'), Cabral (75')
Porro (39')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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