MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 23:56:17| >> :60:1588:1588:
Sporting Lisbon
Europa League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Juventus logo

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 1
Juventus

Edwards (20' pen.)
Ugarte (24'), Edwards (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rabiot (9')
Gatti (83'), Pogba (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Juventus (Juventus win 2-1 on aggregate)

With the accumulated know-how of Allegri and his expensively-assembled cast of underachievers, Juventus can frustrate a Sporting side which has not replicated last term's title-winning form and are a little more vulnerable these days. As a draw would take them through to the final four, Juve will happily play the part of spoilers and focus their efforts on striking on the break - or via a set-piece situation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawJuventus
53.82% (0.664 0.66) 24.42% (0.195 0.2) 21.74% (-0.858 -0.86)
Both teams to score 49.88% (-1.674 -1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.55% (-1.674 -1.67)51.44% (1.675 1.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74% (-1.479 -1.48)73.25% (1.481 1.48)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.95% (-0.381 -0.38)19.04% (0.384 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.37% (-0.638 -0.64)50.63% (0.64 0.64)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.61% (-1.769 -1.77)38.38% (1.771 1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.86% (-1.737 -1.74)75.13% (1.738 1.74)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 53.82%
    Juventus 21.75%
    Draw 24.42%
Sporting LisbonDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 12.12% (0.66 0.66)
2-0 @ 10.05% (0.424 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.17 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 53.82%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.477 0.48)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.252 -0.25)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 7% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.56% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 21.75%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Juventus

Sporting Lisbon
31.6%
Draw
28.5%
Juventus
39.9%
193
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Juventus
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Gatti (73')
Rabiot (24'), Vlahovic (66')

Inacio (20')
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Juventus
Cesar (20')
Dost (67'), Acuna (78'), Coates (79')
Higuain (79')
Mandzukic (26'), Cuadrado (89')
Oct 18, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Juventus
2-1
Sporting Lisbon
Pjanic (29'), Mandzukic (84')
Sturaro (68'), Chiellini (83')
Sandro (12' og.)
Coates (25'), Fernandes (37')
rhs 2.0
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