Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Portimonense |
41.11% | 28.66% | 30.22% |
Both teams to score 44.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.55% | 61.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.67% | 81.32% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% | 29.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.62% | 65.37% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.45% | 36.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.66% | 73.33% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 13.15% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.52% Total : 41.11% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.65% | 0-1 @ 10.81% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.88% Total : 30.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
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