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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Porto

Guimaraes
1 - 2
Porto

Silva (17')
Silva (27'), Silva (72'), Silva (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sanusi (39'), Conceicao (59')
Conceicao (26'), Galeno (85'), Sanchez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Antwerp
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-2 Porto

 Saturday's clash between these two clubs could be a high-scoring affair, with Porto ultimately edging it by a solitary goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPorto
22.78% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 25.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 51.99% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.8% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)53.51% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)75.03% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.45% (-0.104 -0.1)38.54% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (-0.099 -0.1)75.29% (0.091000000000008 0.09)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)20.58% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.87% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)53.12% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 22.78%
    Porto 51.99%
    Draw 25.22%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPorto
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 5.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.61% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.81% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.15% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.78%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 12.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 9.91% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 5.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.06% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 51.99%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Porto

Vitoria de Guimaraes
10.3%
Draw
6.9%
Porto
82.8%
29
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 34
Porto
3-0
Guimaraes
Taremi (8'), Otavio (32'), Evanilson (39')
Otavio (72'), Uribe (87')

Silva (40'), Freitas (44'), Tounkara (62'), Silva (71'), Sa (72'), Indio (89')
Handel (2')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 17
Guimaraes
0-1
Porto
Mario (45+2')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 29
Guimaraes
0-1
Porto

Estupinan (12'), Janvier (73'), Esteves (88'), Duarte (90+8'), Rochinha (90+8')
Estupinan (80')
Taremi (36' pen.)
Otavio (30'), Costa (90+2')
> Preview
Nov 28, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Porto
2-1
Guimaraes
Diaz (39'), Evanilson (60')
Sanusi (34'), Oliveira (45+4'), Wendell (80')
Edwards (36' pen.)
Amaro (11'), Handel (42'), Mumin (45+3'), Sacko (79'), Semedo (85')
Mumin (53')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 28
Porto
1-0
Guimaraes
Marega (49')
Mensah (55'), Marega (74')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1910272120132
6Casa Pia198652523230
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes196852825326
8Estoril PraiaEstoril196672230-824
9MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
10Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
11Gil Vicente195772228-622
12FamalicaoFamalicao194962024-421
13Nacional1954101626-1019
14AroucaArouca1954101630-1419
15AVS193971527-1218
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista1926111332-1912
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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