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Arouca
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Moreirense
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Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Porto

Guimaraes
1 - 2
Porto

Silva (17')
Silva (27'), Silva (72'), Silva (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sanusi (39'), Conceicao (59')
Conceicao (26'), Galeno (85'), Sanchez (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Antwerp
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-2 Porto

 Saturday's clash between these two clubs could be a high-scoring affair, with Porto ultimately edging it by a solitary goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPorto
22.78% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 25.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 51.99% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.8% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)53.51% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)75.03% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.45% (-0.104 -0.1)38.54% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.71% (-0.099 -0.1)75.29% (0.091000000000008 0.09)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)20.58% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.87% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)53.12% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 22.78%
    Porto 51.99%
    Draw 25.22%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPorto
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 5.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.61% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.81% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.15% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 22.78%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 12.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 9.91% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 5.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.06% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 51.99%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Porto

Vitoria de Guimaraes
10.3%
Draw
6.9%
Porto
82.8%
29
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 34
Porto
3-0
Guimaraes
Taremi (8'), Otavio (32'), Evanilson (39')
Otavio (72'), Uribe (87')

Silva (40'), Freitas (44'), Tounkara (62'), Silva (71'), Sa (72'), Indio (89')
Handel (2')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 17
Guimaraes
0-1
Porto
Mario (45+2')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 29
Guimaraes
0-1
Porto

Estupinan (12'), Janvier (73'), Esteves (88'), Duarte (90+8'), Rochinha (90+8')
Estupinan (80')
Taremi (36' pen.)
Otavio (30'), Costa (90+2')
> Preview
Nov 28, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 12
Porto
2-1
Guimaraes
Diaz (39'), Evanilson (60')
Sanusi (34'), Oliveira (45+4'), Wendell (80')
Edwards (36' pen.)
Amaro (11'), Handel (42'), Mumin (45+3'), Sacko (79'), Semedo (85')
Mumin (53')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 28
Porto
1-0
Guimaraes
Marega (49')
Mensah (55'), Marega (74')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon16131244103440
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica1612223792838
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1610061816230
5Braga1684428181028
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes166642218424
7Casa Pia166551819-123
8MoreirenseMoreirense166372124-321
9FamalicaoFamalicao164751919019
10Rio AveRio Ave165471727-1019
11Gil Vicente164661825-718
12Estrela Amadora164481425-1116
13Estoril PraiaEstoril163671426-1215
14AVS162861223-1114
15SC FarenseFarense163491123-1213
16Nacional163491123-1213
17BoavistaBoavista162681023-1312
18AroucaArouca1633101027-1712
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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